Research



Working Papers


Jackknife Variance Estimation for Hájek-Dominated Generalized U-Statistics

Working paper · Sept 2025
Related poster: New York Camp Econometrics XIX (Poster Session)
Abstract

We prove ratio-consistency of the jackknife variance estimator, and certain variants, for a broad class of generalized U-statistics whose variance is asymptotically dominated by their Hájek projection, with the classical fixed-order case recovered as a special instance. This Hájek projection dominance condition unifies and generalizes several criteria in the existing literature, placing the simple nonparametric jackknife on the same footing as the infinitesimal jackknife in the generalized setting. As an illustration, we apply our result to the two-scale distributional nearest-neighbor regression estimator, obtaining consistent variance estimates under substantially weaker conditions than previously required.

Citation

Juergens, Jakob R. (2025). Jackknife Variance Estimation for Hájek-Dominated Generalized U-Statistics. arXiv:2509.12356. https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2509.12356

@misc{juergens2025jackknife,
  author = {Juergens, Jakob R.},
  title = {Jackknife Variance Estimation for {H'a}jek-Dominated Generalized {U}-Statistics},
  year = {2025},
  eprint = {2509.12356},
  archivePrefix = {arXiv},
  doi = {10.48550/arXiv.2509.12356},
  url = {https://arxiv.org/abs/2509.12356}
}

Robust Inference for Conditional Z-Estimation via Distributional Nearest Neighbors

Working paper · 2026
Related poster: New York Camp Econometrics XX (Poster Session)
Manuscript: Available upon request
Abstract

We develop pointwise inference for parameters defined by localized conditional estimating equations, such as conditional average treatment effects and quantile-regression slopes at a fixed covariate profile. The estimator uses distributional nearest-neighbor weights with orthogonal scores and a leave-one-out stability condition, allowing same-sample machine-learned nuisance estimates without cross-fitting in sparse local neighborhoods. The theory gives asymptotic normality and feasible inference through a jackknife variance estimator and localized finite-difference Jacobian.

Citation

Juergens, Jakob R. (2026). Robust Inference for Conditional Z-Estimation via Distributional Nearest Neighbors. Manuscript available upon request.

@unpublished{juergens2026conditionalz,
  author = {Juergens, Jakob R.},
  title = {Robust Inference for Conditional {Z}-Estimation via Distributional Nearest Neighbors},
  year = {2026},
  note = {Manuscript available upon request},
  url = {https://jakobjuergens.com/research/#conditional-z-estimation-dnn}
}

Work in Progress


Distribution-on-Distribution Regression with Optimal Transport

Work in progress
Read summary

We study regression methods when both predictors and outcomes are distributions. Leveraging tools from optimal transport, we work in the geometry of Wasserstein space rather than forcing a linear structure via functional summaries. This geometry-aware approach yields more interpretable and often stronger results than standard linear techniques on functional representations alone. In economics, the framework helps analyze how multiple distributions—such as income and wealth—relate to and co-evolve with each other.



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